Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 1.194409 1.476704 1.787083 2.150676 2.561953 3.009899 3.531792
2025-05-25 0.804530 1.173487 1.622320 2.194902 2.892505 3.702145 4.699946
2025-06-01 0.594363 1.016351 1.579410 2.351319 3.348580 4.562244 6.119033
2025-06-08 0.411782 0.838499 1.465429 2.386871 3.642782 5.235762 7.348976
2025-06-15 0.315626 0.754485 1.455658 2.546240 4.095499 6.121985 8.876396
2025-06-22 0.232792 0.662496 1.411038 2.640920 4.456441 6.897834 10.287735
2025-06-29 0.164799 0.570022 1.343289 2.684684 4.738364 7.571438 11.581743
2025-07-06 0.105748 0.466414 1.231495 2.639297 4.878057 8.047293 12.620019
2025-07-13 0.071769 0.402670 1.176006 2.672707 5.128399 8.677515 13.876016
2025-07-20 0.046910 0.346158 1.120152 2.694437 5.355213 9.275406 15.096975
2025-07-27 0.026107 0.280838 1.027646 2.636383 5.446676 9.674685 16.046573
2025-08-03 0.013292 0.227509 0.945783 2.584116 5.538103 10.070159 16.993648
2025-08-10 0.006788 0.193535 0.903252 2.604798 5.755483 10.667895 18.255720
2025-08-17 0.002279 0.152450 0.826588 2.545895 5.832391 11.054271 19.223688
2025-08-24 0.001102 0.140939 0.833318 2.660845 6.214613 11.917935 20.900402
2025-08-31 0.000227 0.117675 0.793542 2.669493 6.407704 12.491999 22.164154
2025-09-07 0.000075 0.113630 0.818915 2.825265 6.870304 13.497839 24.079646
2025-09-14 0.000004 0.103279 0.817340 2.918332 7.221385 14.334398 25.757295
2025-09-21 NaN 0.089302 0.795505 2.960707 7.479377 15.027291 27.231106
2025-09-28 NaN 0.069689 0.738380 2.909869 7.558650 15.433137 28.279892
2025-10-05 NaN 0.059279 0.717115 2.944384 7.799120 16.102756 29.733841
2025-10-12 NaN 0.049560 0.692734 2.966977 8.015503 16.735221 31.138014
2025-10-19 NaN 0.036827 0.639368 2.904628 8.060898 17.084990 32.114576